oa South African Health Review - HIV/AIDS - facts, figures and the future : chapter 15



Using data obtained from annual surveys of pregnant women attending public sector antenatal clinics, this chapter attempts to estimate the current and future size and impact of the HIV/ AIDS epidemic by means of projection models. The chapter looks at the possible impact of HIV/ AIDS on the economy of the country as well as the economies of households, the capacity of traditional coping mechanisms to deal with ill and dying people and orphans, future health care costs in both the public and the private sectors, and the possible impacts of various interventions on the growth of the epidemic. This paper is adapted from a report published by loveLife with support from the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation. Demographic projections were undertaken by Metropolitan Life AIDS Research and Consulting.


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