1887

n South African Journal of Industrial Engineering - A quantitative analysis of supply response in the Namibian mutton industry

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Abstract

Agricultural activities in Namibia contribute 5.5% of Namibia's GDP, while 70% of the population relies on agriculture for employment and day-to-day living. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationships between the various price and non-price factors contributing to the supply dynamics within the mutton industry in Namibia. The autoregressive distributed lag approach to co-integration was used to determine the long-run and short-run supply response elasticities between economic and climatology factors on time-series data.


Supply shifters showed significant short-run and long-run elasticities with regard to the mutton produced. Results also revealed that the system takes nearly two months to recover to the long-run supply equilibrium, should any disturbances occur within the supply system.

Landbou-aktiwiteite in Namibië dra 5.5% by tot die nasionale Bruto Binnelandse Produk, in 'n land waar meer as 70% van die bevolking afhanklik is van landbou om 'n bestaan te kan maak. Die doel van hierdie studie is om die verwantskappe te ondersoek tussen verskeie prys- en nie-prys-faktore wat bydra tot die aanboddinamika van die skaapvleisbedryf. 'n Outoregressie verspreide sloering benadering tot ko-integrasie is gebruik om die langtermyn en korttermyn elastisitiete tussen ekonomie- en klimaatfaktore vir skaapvleisaanbod te bepaal.


Resultate het gewys dat aanbodfaktore betekenisvolle kort- en langtermyn elastisiteite toon. Resultate het ook getoon dat die sisteem twee maande neem om te herstel na die langtermyn aanbodekwilibruim, sou daar enige drastiese veranderings gebeur in die stelsel.

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/content/indeng/23/1/EJC121089
2012-05-01
2016-12-04
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