n Institute for Security Studies Papers - Power and influence in Africa : Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa
|Article Title||Power and influence in Africa : Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa|
|© Publisher:||Institute for Security Studies (ISS)|
|Journal||Institute for Security Studies Papers|
|Affiliations||1 Institute for Security Studies, 2 Institute for Security Studies, 3 University of Pretoria and 4 University of Denver, USA|
|Publication Date||Mar 2015|
This paper explores the changing power capabilities of Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa (the 'Big Five') over the next 25 years. Of these countries, Ethiopia and Nigeria are forecast to increase their power capabilities, whereas Algeria, Egypt and South Africa are expected to stagnate or decline. Of the Big Five, two currently punch above their weight - one that is rising, Ethiopia, and another whose growth is stagnant, South Africa. If Nigeria were able to take the necessary steps that would see far-reaching changes to the governance issues and social challenges that currently beset the country, it could become Africa's lone superpower.
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