oa Scientia Militaria : South African Journal of Military Studies - The significance of the Battle for Cuito Cuanavale : long-term foresight of the current strategic landscape
This article deals with the long-term outcomes of the Battle of Cuito Cuanavale in Angola (1987-1988) and the effect of the outcomes on the current strategic landscape in Southern Africa. The crux of the article is to learn about the value of long-term foresight for strategising in an international context. After a short discussion of the research methodology, the desired long-term outcomes, as perceived by the major roleplayers before the battle, will be described and explained. For the purpose of elucidation, a description is included of the events preceding the battle and the course of the battle itself. Finally, the long-term outcomes within the context of the current strategic landscape in Southern Africa will be described and explained. The article concludes with recommendations on the value of long-term strategic foresight and the importance to maintain strategic instruments, including military force, to ensure that the foreseen outcomes become reality.
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