n African Renaissance - Somalia and the end of Mogadishu Syndrome?

Volume 4, Issue 1
  • ISSN : 1744-2532
  • E-ISSN: 2516-5305


The fall of Mogadishu on New Year's Eve to the allied forces of the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and Ethiopia won't hurt the Union of Islamic Court's (UIC) jihad in Ethiopia, nor will it automatically bring stability to war-torn Somalia. It is unlikely that the UIC will lay down their arms and surrender their militias, or that the TFG will be able to extend its authority outside of Mogadishu. This is the general opinion among many Somalis and friends of Somalia, largely because Somalia's past 16 years have shown so many tangible examples of unsustainable transitions.

However, this latest transition could be an opportunity to close a chapter of instability and anarchy in the Somali peninsula. If successful, it may bring the end of lawlessness and of Somalia's stigma as the only failed state on the globe. In the longer run, it may help to restore the unity of Somalia and to curb the war on global terror.

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