n South African Actuarial Journal - Abstracts of articles in other South African journals

Volume 15, Issue 1
  • ISSN : 1680-2179


Melgarejo, M (2014). Does beating cash flow benchmarks reduce the cost of debt? IAJ 43(80), 25-36This paper examines whether beating previous year cash flow values and analysts' cash flow forecasts impact the firms' cost of debt. Creditors are expected to be more concerned about firm solvency than firm profitability. Accordingly, if lenders have any reference point it may be related to cash flow numbers. This study finds that firms that beat analysts' cash flow forecasts have smaller initial bond yield spreads in the next period and a decrease in their initial bond yield spreads between consecutive periods. This effect is more pronounced at short maturities and for observations with less informative earnings. Firms with lower earnings response coefficients that beat analysts' cash flow forecasts show a higher probability of a credit rating upgrade.

Loading full text...

Full text loading...


Article metrics loading...


This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error