oa Africa Insight - The South African connection: Kill or cure?

Volume 17, Issue 2
  • ISSN : 0256-2804



Present indications are that demographic, economic, social and related trends will lead to catastrophic famine, malnutrition, disease and ecological collapse over large parts of the African continent within 10 to 15 years. While economic growth is being forecast for the world's developed nations (including the newly industrialized countries of the ""Pacific rim"") during the 1990s, the African continent is unlikely to share in this prosperity and predictions are that the 1990s will see Africa collapsing into ""a black hole"" of retrogression and turmoil. The situation of the Sahelian states and countries like Ethiopia, Somalia, Sudan and Uganda serve to forewarn of what may happen throughout Africa. In the southern African subcontinent the outlook is grim for several countries, especially Angola, Mozambique and Zambia, if present trends continue. These prospects bode ill for the Republic of South Africa, the continent's only dynamic and sophisticated economy, functioning as it does within a domestic and external Third World environment. The RSA cannot hope to remain unaffected if its neighbours are in turmoil, for it is impossible to ""seal"" its largely artificial borders against the rest of the subcontinent.

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