n Studies in Economics and Econometrics - Gender modelling of serving time, prison population and review of punishment in Oyo State-Nigeria

Volume 30, Issue 3
  • ISSN : 0379-6205


A model for estimating the total prison population, P, in Oyo State, Nigeria is proposed and a probable way of projecting for future years using an appropriate ARMA model is discussed. By using a monthly dataset for four consecutive years we observed that there is a decline in prison population, perhaps due to the impact of current crime reduction strategies. The prisoners' average serving time varies with gender between 0.7-1.3years.

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