n Indilinga African Journal of Indigenous Knowledge Systems - Indigenous knowledge and scientific weather forecast : implication for climate change adaptation strategies in Dessa’a, Tigray, northern Ethiopia

Volume 18 Number 2
  • ISSN : 1683-0296


Indigenous knowledge contributes to climate change adaptation measures for the community. Therefore, this study was aimed to: i) Forecast and characterize climatic variables (maximum temperature, minimum temperature and rainfall); ii) explore indigenous knowledge weather forecast; iii) identify climate change adaptation strategies using analogues method; and iv) identify indigenous knowledge of climate change adaptation strategies. The climate modeling RCPs (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) were used with three general circulation model (GCMs). The backward analogues method was chosen to identify analogues sites. An informal and formal meeting with key informants, interviews, focus group discussions and direct observation were used. Three hundred and fifty (350) households were selected through random sampling. Maximum temperature and minimum temperature of the study area will be increased by 3.87°C and 4.27°C respectively in future up to 2099. Higher (84mm) and lower (-67) rainfall will be expected in end term and near term respectively. Indigenous knowledge’s of weather forecast at Dessa’a were identified. Backward analogues showed that the climate variables of Dessa’a will be similar with the current climate variables of the Ethiopian valley at 2050. Therefore, climate change adaptation strategies currently practiced in the Ethiopian valley can be adopted by Dessa’a as climate change adaptation strategies.

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